Author Topic: Estimation game  (Read 99056 times)

CTG

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2011, 10:11:35 AM »
Time is up. Results in the night. And now thinking on new questions with less chemistry... :D
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CTG

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2011, 01:34:04 PM »
Round 2

1, Altitude of volcano Etna
2, Average speed of Railjet EuroCity trains between Salzburg and München
3, World record of hot-dog eating in 10 minutes
4, Gravity on Mars (!hint Earth ~9.81 m/s2)
5, Number of released Sounth Park episodes (NOW! Not tonight, but at the moment! It's Wednesday now, so maybe we'll have a new in the evening)
6, Number of Toyota employees (worldwide, 2010)
7, Alcohol content of Kasteel Bruin beer (%)
8, Chance for rolling sum 13 with 4 dices (%)
9, Birth of the REAL CTG (F1 driver)  - for Zak and Duplode: not only the year, but month and day too!
10, The longest documented and verified human lifetime (years + days)
11, Number of page views in "Disgusting things" topic (AT THE MOMENT, don't dare to check!)
12, Power lap time of Lamborghini Murcielago LP640 on Top Gear's test track (!hint: Renault R24 F1 car - 59.0 seconds; Suzuki Liana 1:44.4)
13, 'New Times Roman' letters first time ever used in a newspaper (only year, I couldn't find the exact date :D)

+1, decimal value of 1010100101101010111010101101110001010010110 binary number
« Last Edit: November 02, 2011, 04:39:33 PM by CTG »
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zaqrack

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2011, 03:38:51 PM »
sent. now in PM :)

Duplode

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2011, 06:52:09 PM »

CTG

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2011, 07:58:41 PM »
Results of round 1

1, First F1 race of Fernando Alonso: 4th March 2001 (Melbourne, with Minardi)

4th March 2001 – Chulk (WOW, strike!)
10th March 2001 – Akoss Poo (quite close)
2001 – Duplode
2000 – Zak McKracken
22nd January 2006 – Bonzai Joe (naaaaah… F1 in January? And 2006? He was already a world champion…)

2, Molar weight of caffeine: 194,2 g/mol

140 – Duplode (not even close to that, I expected a lot better tip from you… kidding, fair enough :D)
383 – Akoss Poo (just a little bit better absolute error than the following „unskilleds” – but at least the right magnitude)
1.3 – Bonzai Joe
0.00000001 – Zak McKracken
0.000000000001 – Chulk

3, Height of Golden Gate bridge: 227.4 m

250 – Chulk
254 – Bonzai Joe (not so far)
190 – Zak McKracken
97 – Akoss Poo (he’s the only one ever been in San Francisco and still…)
80 – Duplode

4, Northern coordinate of Kreml, Moscow: 55° 45’

56° - Akoss Poo (just as expected)
53° 51’ – Bonzai Joe
60° - Zak McKracken
50° - Duplode
48° - Chulk (maybe it’s a bit hard to say from the southern hemisphere)

5, Empty weight of Antonov AN-225: 285 tons (not an easy one)

180 tons – Chulk
80 tons – Zak McKracken
500 tons – Duplode
730 tons – Akoss Poo
1700 tons – Bonzai Joe

6, Speed record of downhill cycling: 222 km/h

235 km/h – Zak McKracken (who else…)
277 km/h – Akoss Poo
150 km/h – Chulk
110,5 km/h – Bonzai Joe
60 km/h – Duplode (60?!?!? Even I can go faster downhills! Okay, maybe with a huge accident at the end… :D)

7, Number of verses in Bible: 31102 (surprisingly almost everybody knew the magnitude)

30000 – Duplode
35673 – Zak McKracken
26225 – Bonzai Joe (a little bit behind Zak)
25000 – Chulk
28 – Akoss Poo (I guess ’number of verses in a pagan metal album’ would fit him better)

8, Release date of Windows XP (for sale): 25th October 2001

1st June 2001 – Zak McKracken
15th May 2001 – Chulk
17th April 2001 – Bonzai Joe
2001 – Duplode
5th November 2000 – Akoss Poo

9, Distance of Buenos Aires and Budapest: 11913 km

12000 km – Chulk (nice one!)
12898 km – Bonzai Joe
13900 km – Zak McKracken
8320 km – Akoss Poo
8000 km – Duplode

10, Nutritional value of Toblerone: 525 kcal/100 g

550 kcal – Duplode
583 kcal – Akoss Poo
590 kcal – Zak McKracken
700 kcal – Chulk (hey, it’s not bacon – just chocolate!)
324 kcal – Bonzai Joe

11, Date of Saddam Hussein’s execution: 30th December 2006 (5 years ago? Damn, it was yesterday. I’m getting really old.)

30th October 2006 – Akoss Poo
30th August 2006 – Chulk
12th July 2007 – Duplode
3rd March 2006 – Bonzai Joe
10th May 2004 – Zak McKracken

12,  Lowest temperature ever recorded in Australia: -23°C

-24°C – Akoss Poo
-30°C – Chulk & Zak McKracken
-8°C – Duplode
-7,7°C – Bonzai Joe

13, Population of Togo: 6,619,000 (2009, according to Wikipedia)

5,000,000 – Duplode
8,300,000 – Akoss Poo (almost there)
10,000,000 – Chulk
11,300,000 – Bonzai Joe
14,500,000 – Zak McKracken

+1: Days between Chernobyl and Fukushima catastrophies: 9085

9085 – Bonzai Joe (!!!)
9050 – Akoss Poo
9000 – Duplode
9430 – Zak McKracken
10950 – Chulk

STANDINGS:
4 points - Chulk & Duplode
3 points - Akoss Poo
2 points - Zak McKracken
1 point - Bonzai Joe
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Duplode

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2011, 08:42:50 PM »
As predicted, I flopped miserably wherever there was a length dimension involved. And why the hell I answered with just the year in two date questions?  ::) Still, not that bad overall.

Akoss Poo a.k.a. Zorromeister

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2011, 09:31:32 PM »
3 best tips and 6 second best ones, I'm satisfied.

I did not know what is a 'verse' exactly in the Bible.

I show you some victories at other man's home field:

- me lost in San Francisco Golden Gate tipping
- Zak lost in Toblerone kcal value tipping

Though there were some nice bets from the experts of the certain field:

- Duplode tipping the coffeine molar weight
- me tipping the Australian temperature record
- Zak tipping the downhill cycling speed record.

And some historic fatal errors. I decided not to tell these.

Congratulations to BJ for telling us the exact Chernobyl-Fukushima differential time.

Surprisingly there were no real magnitude errors at the Antonov tipping (grats to everyone).

I was writing an abstract of an article while I gave the new tips. Unfortunately, I forget to take some factors into consideration, so in the second round, expect a much worse performance from me...
Fingszag Bácsán van!

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Chulk

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2011, 11:22:33 PM »
I must say I'm surprised I got 4 points. I knew Alonso's first race was 2001 Melbourne so I was pretty confident about that, 4 was just the middle of the first week, and that worked perfectly. I also knew (I had looked for it when a WSM took place few years ago and still remembered) the distance between BA and Budapest. About Antonov and Golden Gate, just lucky guesses. About Mol weight and Kcal, really unlucky guesses, hehe. I'll send my tips for second round later, gotta go eat something right now or I will faint (not kidding, last time I ate something other than coffee was 23 hours ago, busy day, don't ask)
« Last Edit: November 03, 2011, 02:33:17 AM by Chulk »
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zaqrack

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2011, 04:06:07 AM »
great game, bad result  ;D looking forward to the next round!

BonzaiJoe

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2011, 09:03:17 AM »
Fun game.

I remembered the Chernobyl date for sure, and fortunately got the Fukushima date right. Had to count leap years and months with 28-31 days and everything.
But we can't be quite sure.


CTG

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2011, 09:33:26 AM »
Calculating is not cheating - if you do it without a calculator. :D
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BonzaiJoe

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2011, 10:30:22 AM »
I must say I'm surprised I got 4 points. I knew Alonso's first race was 2001 Melbourne so I was pretty confident about that, 4 was just the middle of the first week, and that worked perfectly. I also knew (I had looked for it when a WSM took place few years ago and still remembered) the distance between BA and Budapest. About Antonov and Golden Gate, just lucky guesses. About Mol weight and Kcal, really unlucky guesses, hehe. I'll send my tips for second round later, gotta go eat something right now or I will faint (not kidding, last time I ate something other than coffee was 23 hours ago, busy day, don't ask)

Aww - you were just 3 hours from my record. Better luck next time  :D
But we can't be quite sure.


CTG

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2011, 10:49:14 AM »
Aww - you were just 3 hours from my record. Better luck next time  :D

You should not try to break that record.
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BonzaiJoe

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2011, 11:36:01 AM »
It's probably really not healthy, but I suppose if people can go on hunger strike for 10 days and stay alive, 30 hours can't create any long term damage ?
But we can't be quite sure.


CTG

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Re: Estimation game
« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2011, 11:42:19 AM »
It's probably really not healthy, but I suppose if people can go on hunger strike for 10 days and stay alive, 30 hours can't create any long term damage ?

But still, why to try? I can't survive more than 24 hours without meat. :D
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