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Champion of ZakStunts 2012

Started by CTG, July 20, 2012, 08:39:54 AM

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Who will be the champion of ZakStunts 2012?

Bonzai Joe
1 (11.1%)
CTG
1 (11.1%)
Duplode
4 (44.4%)
Friker
1 (11.1%)
Gutix
0 (0%)
Renato Biker
2 (22.2%)

Total Members Voted: 9

CTG

286,36 km

alanrotoi


BonzaiJoe

But we can't be quite sure.


CTG

286,36 km

alanrotoi

Aburaf lives in Rafaela city. They have a football team (Atlético Rafaela).

Usrin

I believe in the Slovak power. So if not me, then Friker. (Please, don't be lazy!)
Colour of living being is determined by the gene.

CTG

Quote from: Usrin on July 20, 2012, 10:35:16 PM
I believe in the Slovak power. So if not me, then Friker. (Please, don't be lazy!)

Hohoooooo, that was a coming out: Friker is Usrin!  ;D
286,36 km

Usrin

Quote from: CTG on July 23, 2012, 08:32:18 AM
Quote from: Usrin on July 20, 2012, 10:35:16 PM
I believe in the Slovak power. So if not me, then Friker. (Please, don't be lazy!)

Hohoooooo, that was a coming out: Friker is Usrin!  ;D

Moreover: Miroslav Šatan, Peter Sagan and Róbert Vittek are also me. ;D
Colour of living being is determined by the gene.

CTG

Quote from: Usrin on July 24, 2012, 10:35:12 AM
Moreover: Miroslav Šatan, Peter Sagan and Róbert Vittek are also me. ;D


Felvidék SC
286,36 km

CTG

#9
Head to head standings between the expected top5 pipsqueaks:

DUP-RBI 0-3
DUP-GUT 3.5-3.5
DUP-FRI 6-2
DUP-CTG 4-3

RBI-GUT 2-0
RBI-FRI 3-0
RBI-CTG 3-0

GUT-FRI 4-3
GUT-CTG 3-3

FRI-CTG 3-4

"Top dogs league"

1 RBI 11-0 (100.0%)
2 DUP 13.5-11.5 (54.0%)
3 GUT 10.5-11.5 (47.7%)
4 CTG 10-13 (43.5%)
5 FRI 8-17 (32.0%)

Overall performance against all the opponents:

Renato Biker 33-0 (100.0%)
Gutix 66.5-13.5 (83.1%)
Duplode 73.5-16.5 (81.7%)
CTG 65-17 (79.3%)
Friker 60-30 (66.7%)
286,36 km

CTG

Update. I think a DUP-RBI-GUT season podium would be realistic at the end.

Head to head standings between the expected top5 pipsqueaks:

DUP-RBI 0-4
DUP-GUT 4.5-3.5
DUP-FRI 7-2
DUP-CTG 5-3

RBI-GUT 3-0
RBI-FRI 4-0
RBI-CTG 4-0

GUT-FRI 5-3
GUT-CTG 3-4

FRI-CTG 3-5

"Top dogs league"

1 RBI 15-0 (100.0%)
2 DUP 16.5-12.5 (56.9%)
3 CTG 12-15 (44.4%)
4 GUT 11.5-14.5 (44.2%)
5 FRI 8-21 (27.6%)

Overall performance against all the opponents:

Renato Biker 44-0 (100.0%)
Duplode 82.5-18.5 (81.7%)
Gutix 73.5-17.5 (80.8%)
CTG 72-20 (78.3%)
Friker 66-35 (65.3%)
286,36 km

CTG

So Duplode again - but 2nd-5th place is still quite unsure. I'm going to analyze the chances after getting the results of Randomizer.
286,36 km

CTG

Quote from: CTG on November 30, 2012, 03:12:06 PM
2nd-5th place is still quite unsure

False, stupid me. Biker has no chance for season podium if both Friker and me participate in Z137. Almost the same goes for Gutix. (Values in brackets show the +2 LTB case for each positions)


   Position      Duplode      CTG      Friker      Gutix      Renato Biker   
   1      110 (112)      93 (95)      95 (97)      88 (90)      87 (89)   
   2      109 (111)      92 (94)      94 (96)      87 (89)      86 (88)   
   3      108 (110)      91 (93)      93 (95)      86 (88)      85 (87)   
   4      108 (110)      90 (92)      92 (94)      85 (87)      84 (86)   
   5      108 (110)      90 (92)      91 (93)      84 (86)      83 (85)   
   6      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      82 (84)   
   7      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      81 (83)   
   8      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      80 (82)   
   9      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      79 (81)   
   10      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      78 (80)   
   11      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      77 (79)   
   12      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      76 (78)   
   >12      108 (110)      90 (92)      90 (92)      84 (86)      75 (77)   
   DNS      102      87      84      82      75   
286,36 km

CTG

So:

Duplode is the champion with a huge gap.

CTG will be the silver medalist, if:

- he participates ZCT 137, Friker doesn't and Gutix can't get 12+2 points
- since Friker has the same overall score with EB, he needs more netto points than his rival (podium and/or LTB; advantage is at Friker, because he gets a point even with finishing 5th)

Friker will be the silver medalist, if:

- he participates ZCT 137, while CTG doesn't and Gutix doesn't get 12+2
- getting the same or more netto points than CTG (if CTG can't get a 2nd place, draw is an advance for Friker, since he has more silver medals)

Gutix will be the silver medalist, if:

- both CTG and Friker miss ZCT 137, while he earns at least 3 netto points (4th place + 2 LTB / 3 th place + 1 LTB / 2nd place or better)
- both CTG and Friker participate, but they can't earn netto points (no LTB, CTG 4th or worse, Friker 6th or worse), while Gutix wins and gets +2 LTB

Renato Biker will be the silver medalist, if:

- CTG and Friker both miss ZCT 137 and Gutix earns at least 9 netto points less than him

To be realistic: Gutix will do his best to win the race and get +2 LTB to be on the seasonal podium. The same goes for Friker, who will finish in ZCT 137's TOP5 for sure (estabilishing his silver medal in overall). I won't be able to get any netto points, while Biker's result - if both Friker and I participate - is irrelevant in this question.

Prediction for ZCT 137: see the dedicated topic.

Prediction for the season's result: 1 Duplode 109, 2 Friker 94, 3 Gutix 90, 4 CTG 90, 5 Renato Biker 75
286,36 km

CTG

Head to head standings:

DUP-RBI 2-4
DUP-GUT 5.5-3.5
DUP-FRI 9-2
DUP-CTG 7-3

RBI-GUT 4-0
RBI-FRI 5-1
RBI-CTG 5-1

GUT-FRI 6-3
GUT-CTG 3-5

FRI-CTG 3-7

"Top dogs league"

1 RBI 18-4 (81.9%)
2 DUP 23.5-12.5 (65.3%)
3 CTG 16-18 (47.1%)
4 GUT 12.5-17.5 (41.7%)
5 FRI 9-27 (25.0%)
286,36 km